Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:41:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2B 0x2b42…62af sports 79 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$9,420 (-4%) realized −$8,802 · open −$618
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate51%39W / 37L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3,325per market
Trades / day94.3pace
Fees−$2,940est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$537now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days+$76
14 days−$11,118
30 days−$12,620
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$11,496
crypto 0% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +7.5% -2.7% 100% 0% -2.7%
≤30d 65 +12.2% +1.5% 55% 29% -14.3%
≤90d 76 +11.3% +0.7% 51% 28% -13.6%
all 76 +11.3% +0.7% 51% 28% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.7% 28% -13.6%
10% -9.0% 13% -21.9%
15% ← realistic here -17.8% 8% -29.4%
20% -25.8% 8% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$4,684) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
31.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$465 vs −$786 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$537
Realized−$8,802
Unrealized−$618
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses39 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$2,940
Open positions3
Markets (closed)76 / 79
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$3,325
Trades / day94.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 76 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner T1 67¢ 100¢ $353 $527 +$173 (+49%)
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner T1 87¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+14%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 20¢ $795 $2 −$793 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $1,004 +$76 +8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,921 −$251 -9%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $11,821 −$9,201 -78%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,922 −$653 -22%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1,553 +$160 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $12,943 +$601 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $7,111 +$440 +6%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $4,771 +$821 +17%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4,684 +$2,997 +64%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,470 −$580 -39%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $15,630 −$5,526 -35%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $12,185 −$1,504 -12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $7,646 +$523 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5,670 +$601 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,726 +$782 +29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $492 −$92 -19%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $919 −$29 -3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $11 +$136 +1198%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $14 +$3 +19%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $751 −$201 -27%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $446 +$41 +9%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $497 +$79 +16%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $2,623 +$176 +7%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $304 +$32 +11%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $547 −$151 -28%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $149 −$141 -94%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2,310 −$184 -8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $6,403 −$2,608 -41%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,414 −$1,116 -79%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $153 +$155 +102%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $18,122 −$461 -2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $31 +$4 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $4,543 +$1,100 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $4,250 +$582 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $3,195 +$1,870 +58%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,815 +$118 +6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 01 $3,642 −$1,530 -42%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $505 −$505 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $212 +$36 +17%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 01 $2,957 +$466 +16%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 31 $1,861 +$24 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $315 −$12 -4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $6,546 −$1,822 -28%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $6,237 +$780 +12%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $15,738 +$354 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $2,012 −$367 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 96¢ $5 12m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 15¢ $92 13m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 15¢ $92 13m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 16¢ $93 13m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $3 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $32 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 30¢ $4 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 30¢ $15 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 30¢ $2 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 30¢ $6 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $0 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $14 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $171 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ $147 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 47¢ $2 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 46¢ $21 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $43 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $16 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $18 14m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $61 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $1 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $8 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $16 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 33¢ $2 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 33¢ $10 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 36¢ $13 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $39 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 39¢ $9 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 33¢ $5 16m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 33¢ $7 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $537.02 · official $537.02 (match) · 3500 history records