trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 54% | 50% | +29.3% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 54% | 50% | +29.3% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 54% | 50% | +29.3% |
| all | 34 | +12.3% | +1.6% | 50% | 44% | +26.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.6% | 44% | +26.5% |
| 10% | -8.1% | 41% | +14.4% |
| 15% | -17.0% | 41% | +3.3% |
| 20% | -25.1% | 32% | -6.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $567 | $456 | −$111 (-20%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 40¢ | 69¢ | $150 | $255 | +$105 (+70%) |
| Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $13 | −$37 (-74%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $42 | −$14 | -33% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $103 | +$2 | +2% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: Draw at halftime? | Jun 25 | $51 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $122 | +$181 | +148% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $53 | −$50 | -94% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$11 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $15 | +$7 | +46% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $21 | +$89 | +436% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $184 | −$97 | -53% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $152 | +$175 | +115% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $42 | −$41 | -97% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $197 | −$173 | -88% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $15 | +$38 | +250% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $42 | +$104 | +245% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $11 | +$8 | +73% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $7 | +$3 | +38% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $23 | +$14 | +61% |
| Bautista vs. Mix | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley | Jun 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Pena vs. Harrison | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Holobaugh vs. Leavitt | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$8 | +42% |
| Luque vs. Holland | Jun 08 | $8 | +$5 | +61% |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Bellato vs. Craig | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Stoltzfus vs. Ruziboev | May 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Santos vs. Lisboa | May 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Burns vs. Morales | May 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Yusuff vs. Santos | May 19 | $4 | +$3 | +67% |
| Erosa vs. Costa | May 17 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07? | May 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena | May 17 | $10 | +$18 | +178% |