Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:28:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b51…bab7
crypto · 1131 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$4,029 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,039 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$130
Realized+$4,039
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses595 / 624
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1219 / 1131
History coverage41d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day71.7
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 1219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,241
7 days−$1,302
14 days+$2,086
30 days+$5,261
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $50 $42 −$8 (-16%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $840 $0 −$840 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$4,231
other 0% +$39
sports 0% +$338
world 0% +$23
politics 0% +$31
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $372 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $207 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $551 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $310 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 416 -37.0% -43.0% 34% 31% -12.0%
≤30d 851 -12.7% -21.1% 47% 45% -4.9%
≤90d 1219 -10.8% -19.3% 49% 46% -6.6%
all 1219 -10.8% -19.3% 49% 46% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 46% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 42% -15.6%
15% -34.1% 37% -23.7%
20% -40.5% 32% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.14 · official $130.14 (match) · 3500 history records