Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b52…6d8c
crypto · 718 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$130 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$136
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses295 / 409
Open positions14
Markets (closed)704 / 718
History coverage105d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 14 History 704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$69
14 days+$67
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? Yes 22¢ 39¢ $5 $8 +$4 (+77%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Yes 23¢ 38¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+67%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 34¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+46%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? Yes 22¢ 32¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+43%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 22¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+29%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 14? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 23¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 22¢ 26¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14? Yes 22¢ 26¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 14? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 13? Yes 24¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 13? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+158%)
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 4? Yes 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on June 12? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 10? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 11? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 +$7 +381%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$7 +381%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$5 +286%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$7 +381%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$6 +301%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 10 $2 +$4 +233%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 11? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $17 +$50 +286%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $11 +$33 +291%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 10? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 10? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 6? Jun 05 $3 −$1 -27%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 10? Jun 05 $6 −$2 -27%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Jun 04 $0 $0 -30%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -46%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 04 $1 +$2 +159%
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -42%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Apr 09 $1 $0 -25%
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Apr 07 $1 +$1 +88%
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? Apr 07 $5 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 9? Apr 06 $0 $0 -100%
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Apr 03 $1 $0 +18%
Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? Apr 01 $2 $0 -2%
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $3 −$1 -30%
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? Apr 01 $1 +$2 +170%
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? Apr 01 $3 +$2 +70%
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $4 +$1 +39%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29? Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 29? Mar 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? Mar 30 $7 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 33% −$74
weather 25% −$52
sports 15% +$15
world 14% +$41
other 7% −$45
finance 3% +$7
politics 2% −$18
tech 1% −$2
culture 1% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 31m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 49m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY Yes 25¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 19h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 20h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 22h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 24¢ $1 22h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju BUY Yes 28¢ $2 41h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 43h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 43h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 43h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 3d
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 11? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY Yes 22¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 10? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 10? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 3d
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 10? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +23.7% +11.9% 30% 30% +60.7%
≤30d 34 +18.4% +7.2% 29% 26% +20.4%
≤90d 86 -5.9% -14.9% 40% 30% -9.0%
all 704 -12.0% -20.4% 42% 35% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.4% 35% -14.0%
10% -28.0% 30% -22.2%
15% -34.9% 24% -29.8%
20% -41.3% 20% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.29 · official $32.04 · 2664 history records