trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -29.0% | -35.7% | 50% | 25% | +30.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 75% | 25% | +79.0% |
| all | 14 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 86% | 14% | +78.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 14% | +78.6% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 14% | +61.5% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 14% | +45.9% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 14% | +31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Over | 52¢ | 52¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 | Jun 08 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? | Jun 08 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 08 | $100 | +$81 | +82% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Mar 26 | $2,800 | +$2,818 | +101% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? | Mar 25 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Mar 25 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | Mar 25 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| LoL: eSuba vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs | Mar 07 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Mar 07 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 1? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY Over | 52¢ | $101 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY Up | 9¢ | $5 | 13d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 | BUY Under | 72¢ | $20 | 13d |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | BUY Spurs | 54¢ | $100 | 39d |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | BUY Heat | 50¢ | $2,800 | 87d |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? | BUY Yes | 100¢ | $3 | 105d |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | BUY No | 96¢ | $4 | 105d |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY Yes | 97¢ | $3 | 105d |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? | BUY Yes | 98¢ | $4 | 118d |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | BUY No | 99¢ | $6 | 118d |
| LoL: eSuba vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs | BUY eSuba | 94¢ | $5 | 118d |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY Yes | 99¢ | $1 | 150d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22? | BUY Yes | 92¢ | $1 | 150d |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY Yes | 100¢ | $1 | 171d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 1? | BUY Yes | 100¢ | $1 | 171d |