trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 66¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria | Tatjana Maria | 59¢ | 0¢ | $101 | $0 | −$101 (-100%) |
| West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 76¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$19 | +38% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $103 | −$81 | -79% |
| HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova | Jun 12 | $15 | +$1 | +4% |
| HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu | Jun 12 | $152 | +$15 | +10% |
| Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard | Jun 12 | $400 | −$251 | -63% |
| HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria | Jun 12 | $151 | −$87 | -58% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $56 | +$24 | +43% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $102 | +$52 | +51% |
| Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $6 | +$3 | +52% |
| Will Angola win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $302 | +$19 | +6% |
| Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $6 | +$2 | +35% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | May 10 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -14.3% | -22.5% | 64% | 36% | -26.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 62% | 38% | -26.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -18.4% | -26.2% | 55% | 30% | -26.4% |
| all | 20 | -18.4% | -26.2% | 55% | 30% | -26.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.2% | 30% | -26.4% |
| 10% | -33.3% | 25% | -33.5% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 25% | -39.9% |
| 20% | -45.6% | 10% | -45.8% |