Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:15:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b59…9db6
other · 751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,178 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,597 · open −$1,174
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,072
Realized−$4,597
Unrealized−$1,174
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses24 / 214
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions500
Markets (closed)238 / 751
History coverage2d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day1848.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 500 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,597
7 days−$4,597
14 days−$4,597
30 days−$4,597
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive? Yes 42¢ 56¢ $115 $153 +$37 (+33%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes 45¢ 43¢ $156 $148 −$8 (-5%)
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes 23¢ 35¢ $79 $120 +$42 (+53%)
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30? Yes 49¢ 50¢ $59 $60 +$1 (+2%)
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30? Yes 19¢ 36¢ $24 $44 +$20 (+85%)
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22? Yes 38¢ 53¢ $26 $37 +$10 (+39%)
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-15? Yes 15¢ 42¢ $10 $29 +$18 (+177%)
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $3 $28 +$25 (+766%)
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $2 $27 +$26 (+1299%)
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 37¢ $12 $26 +$13 (+106%)
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $29 $26 −$4 (-13%)
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? Yes 35¢ 47¢ $19 $25 +$6 (+34%)
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $21 $25 +$4 (+18%)
SC Recife to score first vs. São Bernardo FC? Yes 44¢ 56¢ $19 $25 +$5 (+26%)
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-03-22? Yes 19¢ 36¢ $13 $24 +$11 (+87%)
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%? Yes 90¢ 93¢ $23 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 24¢ 48¢ $12 $23 +$11 (+97%)
Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. CDOriente Petrolero end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 48¢ $13 $23 +$10 (+76%)
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Goiás EC end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 53¢ $7 $22 +$15 (+212%)
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 40¢ $14 $21 +$7 (+50%)
Will Londrina EC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 30¢ $10 $21 +$11 (+103%)
Will FC Universitario win on 2026-06-19? Yes 28¢ 44¢ $13 $20 +$7 (+55%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 29¢ 48¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+65%)
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-06-15? Yes 15¢ 28¢ $10 $20 +$9 (+90%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? Yes 26¢ 46¢ $11 $19 +$8 (+75%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Jun 12 $0 $0 -64%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? Jun 12 $0 $0 -75%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? Jun 12 $0 $0 -83%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? Jun 12 $0 $0 -54%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Jun 12 $0 $0 -65%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Jun 12 $0 $0 -83%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/Nor Jun 12 $0 $0 -83%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? Jun 12 $0 $0 +51%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Jun 12 $0 $0 -74%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? Jun 12 $0 $0 -67%
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Jun 12 $123 −$122 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on Jun 12 $529 −$528 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less Jun 12 $18 −$18 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -81%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 92°F or higher on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -80%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $14 −$9 -66%
Will Nilvan Ferreira win the Governor of Paraíba election? Jun 12 $32 −$31 -100%
Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will United States record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Iran record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -99%
Will Canada record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -99%
Will Senegal record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -94%
Will Uzbekistan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $15 −$14 -94%
Will Iraq record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -96%
Will Egypt record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Will Ecuador record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $38 −$37 -98%
Will Qatar record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -94%
Will Uruguay record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Will France record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $33 −$25 -74%
Will Japan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Will Paraguay record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $59 −$59 -99%
Will Colombia record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Will South Korea record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Will Norway record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Will Netherlands record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Jordan record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $63 −$63 -99%
Will Morocco record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Will Australia record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Will New Zealand record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $63 −$63 -99%
Will Belgium record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $44 −$42 -96%
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Germany record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Portugal record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $48 −$47 -99%
Will OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$3,081
sports 14% −$101
tech 10% −$899
weather 7% −$71
world 5% −$854
finance 5% −$316
politics 3% −$291
culture 1% −$101
economics 1% $0
crypto 1% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY Yes 3¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/Nor BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 0m
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 0m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL Yes 1¢ $0 21m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $304 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 4¢ $13 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 96¢ $292 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on SELL Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 96¢ $96 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 4¢ $4 23m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $100 23m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju SELL Yes 5¢ $0 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-69.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -66.6% -69.7% 10% 8% -92.9%
≤30d 238 -66.6% -69.7% 10% 8% -92.9%
≤90d 238 -66.6% -69.7% 10% 8% -92.9%
all 238 -66.6% -69.7% 10% 8% -92.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1848.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -69.7% 8% -92.9%
10% ← realistic here -72.6% 7% -93.6%
15% -75.3% 5% -94.2%
20% -77.7% 3% -94.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,072.46 · official $3,074.21 (match) · 3500 history records