Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:30:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2B 0x2b5e…d5bc crypto 1347 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (126 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$340 (-3%) realized −$340 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate51%682W / 665L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day125.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$33
14 days−$853
30 days−$771
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$771
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (126 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -4.6% -13.7% 46% 16% -12.6%
≤30d 1347 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 22% -14.8%
≤90d 1347 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 22% -14.8%
all 1347 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 22% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 22% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 12% -22.9%
15% -30.9% 8% -30.4%
20% -37.7% 5% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.57 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$340
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses682 / 665
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1347 / 1347
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day125.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1347 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records