trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 50% | 25% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 50% | 25% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -10.4% | -18.9% | 73% | 18% | -10.7% |
| all | 26 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 38% | 12% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 12% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 12% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 4% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | +$10 | +41% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? | Jun 18 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 17 | $25 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | May 05 | $11 | +$3 | +28% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | May 05 | $27 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | Apr 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 13 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Mar 24 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Mar 24 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 13? | Jan 13 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Sep 28 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Sep 28 | $50 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | May 06 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists? | Apr 01 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 10 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 10 | $30 | +$9 | +30% |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | Feb 12 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Jan 03 | $18 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Lamar Jackson be the top Fantasy Quarterback? | Jan 03 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player? | Jan 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | Jan 03 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 03 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 30 | $5,309 | +$2 | +0% |