Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:38:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2b8b…2ce5
sports · 27 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$953 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,190 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses18 / 9
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage6d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$533
7 days+$1,190
14 days+$1,190
30 days+$1,190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $396 +$243 +61%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $159 +$37 +23%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $129 +$189 +147%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $61 +$111 +182%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $158 +$106 +67%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$64 +63%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $290 +$354 +122%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 13 $126 −$126 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $179 −$179 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $199 +$202 +102%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $310 +$166 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $81 +$30 +38%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $188 +$92 +49%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $125 −$36 -29%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $169 +$54 +32%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$29 +29%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $199 +$35 +17%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $129 +$71 +55%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $30 −$3 -8%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $310 +$107 +34%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $170 +$56 +33%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $200 +$54 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $639 16m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner BUY LOS 69¢ $100 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner BUY LOS 57¢ $100 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner BUY LOS 60¢ $196 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner SELL LOS 99¢ $196 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 80¢ $159 2h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL LOS 100¢ $318 2h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 40¢ $129 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 52¢ $99 8h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 51¢ $100 8h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 50¢ $100 9h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 56¢ $50 9h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $33 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $20 17h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $20 17h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $20 18h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 59¢ $158 22h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner SELL Vivo Keyd Stars 99¢ $157 26h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 60¢ $101 26h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $644 32h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 49¢ $41 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 45¢ $49 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 48¢ $100 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $101 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $400 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 72¢ $99 33h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $100 34h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $102 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $77 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $477 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% +15.7%
≤30d 27 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% +15.7%
≤90d 27 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% +15.7%
all 27 +14.8% +3.9% 67% 67% +15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.9% 67% +15.7%
10% -6.1% 63% +4.6%
15% -15.1% 41% -5.5%
20% -23.5% 33% -14.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records