trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 25 | $26 | +$4 | +14% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 23 | $24 | +$4 | +17% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers | Apr 09 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $16 | +$3 | +20% |
| Bruins vs. Capitals | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Maple Leafs | Mar 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Lakers | Mar 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Mar 24 | $2 | +$1 | +54% |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | Mar 24 | $93 | +$93 | +100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Mar 23 | $1 | +$1 | +92% |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Mar 22 | $2 | +$1 | +79% |
| Panthers vs. Kraken | Mar 16 | $2 | +$2 | +113% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | Feb 28 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 100% | 100% | +3.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 62% | 62% | +44.3% |
| all | 15 | +4.4% | -5.5% | 67% | 60% | +43.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.5% | 60% | +43.9% |
| 10% | -14.6% | 40% | +30.2% |
| 15% | -22.8% | 40% | +17.6% |
| 20% | -30.4% | 40% | +6.1% |