trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 64% | 55% | -15.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 64% | 55% | -15.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.0% | -8.7% | 67% | 58% | -1.2% |
| all | 13 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 69% | 62% | -0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 62% | -0.4% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 46% | -9.9% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 38% | -18.6% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 23% | -26.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5 | Over | 68¢ | 69¢ | $83 | $85 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 22¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $27 | +$26 | +93% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$33 | +122% |
| France to score first vs. Senegal? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $170 | −$168 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Jun 15 | $522 | +$79 | +15% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1,000 | +$91 | +9% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $47 | +$23 | +50% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $152 | +$86 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $253 | −$250 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $63 | −$62 | -98% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $1,272 | +$503 | +40% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $1,124 | +$148 | +13% |