Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2ba2…037a
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$68
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$12
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$68
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)3 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? No 61¢ 60¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? No 51¢ 78¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+53%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 55¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-53%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $48 +$30 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$39
crypto 24% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $4 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 31¢ $5 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY No 64¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY No 67¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY No 59¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? SELL No 60¢ $3 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 51¢ $1 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina $1 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 55¢ $1 1h
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY No 60¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $78 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $2 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 67% -2.3%
≤30d 3 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 67% -2.3%
≤90d 3 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 67% -2.3%
all 3 -8.5% -17.2% 67% 67% -2.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 67% -2.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 33% -11.6%
15% -32.4% 33% -20.2%
20% -39.0% 33% -28.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.42 · official $12.42 (match) · 57 history records