trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 20% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 20% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 22 | +5.2% | -4.8% | 59% | 14% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 14% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 9% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 9% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 5% | -32.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $12 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? | Dec 10 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 22 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 05 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April? | Apr 02 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21? | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | Mar 20 | $3 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | Mar 20 | $8 | +$2 | +22% |
| Roma vs. FC Porto | Feb 23 | $6 | +$2 | +45% |