Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bc0…7871
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,799 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,799 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18,799
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses108 / 307
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)415 / 189
History coverage1d
Avg bet$265
Trades / day3292.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 415 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,799
7 days−$18,799
14 days−$18,799
30 days−$18,799
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $152 $0 −$152 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $287 −$287 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $550 −$550 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $302 −$302 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $343 −$343 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$23 +45382%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $406 −$406 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$129 +36976%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $188 −$188 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $229 −$229 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $430 −$430 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$347
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $18 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $12 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $13 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $48 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $48 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 415 +8.0% -2.2% 26% 24% -35.0%
≤30d 415 +8.0% -2.2% 26% 24% -35.0%
≤90d 415 +8.0% -2.2% 26% 24% -35.0%
all 415 +8.0% -2.2% 26% 24% -35.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3292.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 24% -35.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 23% -41.2%
15% -20.1% 21% -46.9%
20% -28.0% 19% -52.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records