Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:15:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bc7…0513
crypto · 340 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$492 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$482 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$131
Realized+$482
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses215 / 124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)339 / 340
History coverage1d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day2539.5
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$482
7 days+$482
14 days+$482
30 days+$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 73¢ 78¢ $107 $115 +$9 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 8¢ 22¢ $6 $15 +$9 (+158%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $72 +$15 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $136 +$41 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $253 −$84 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $244 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $338 +$29 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $187 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $181 −$30 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$16 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $211 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$29 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$27 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $355 −$125 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$24 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $316 +$76 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $118 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $119 +$37 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $216 −$34 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $130 +$25 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$17 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$12 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $183 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $193 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$7 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $84 +$21 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $110 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$15 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $115 −$39 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $316 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$9 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$492
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $33 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $28 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $27 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 41% -8.4%
≤30d 339 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 41% -8.4%
≤90d 339 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 41% -8.4%
all 339 +6.3% -3.8% 63% 41% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2539.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 41% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 21% -17.2%
15% -21.4% 9% -25.2%
20% -29.1% 6% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $130.65 · official $108.82 · 3500 history records