Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bcd…7955
crypto · 68 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$91 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses36 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
Avg bet$10
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67
7 days−$67
14 days−$67
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$58
world 4% −$24
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -15.3% -23.4% 54% 51% -18.4%
≤30d 68 -16.6% -24.5% 53% 50% -21.5%
≤90d 68 -16.6% -24.5% 53% 50% -21.5%
all 68 -16.6% -24.5% 53% 50% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.5% 50% -21.5%
10% -31.8% 38% -29.0%
15% -38.3% 25% -35.9%
20% -44.4% 13% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 282 history records