Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:50:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bdf…eaf9
crypto · 1201 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$283 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$283 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses908 / 293
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1201 / 1201
History coverage26d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day105.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$283
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 268 -2.0% -11.3% 81% 18% -11.8%
≤30d 1201 -2.6% -11.9% 76% 23% -12.6%
≤90d 1201 -2.6% -11.9% 76% 23% -12.6%
all 1201 -2.6% -11.9% 76% 23% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 23% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 6% -21.0%
15% -28.0% 1% -28.6%
20% -35.1% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records