trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 13 | +60.4% | +45.1% | 31% | 23% | +192.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.1% | 23% | +192.4% |
| 10% | +31.2% | 23% | +164.4% |
| 15% | +18.6% | 23% | +138.9% |
| 20% | +6.9% | 23% | +115.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1,683 | $895 | −$787 (-47%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 8¢ | $720 | $425 | −$295 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | Oct 05 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | Jun 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | Jun 15 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Zuckerberg divorce in 2025? | Apr 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Solana hit $300 in December? | Jan 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | Dec 06 | $100 | +$400 | +400% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Dec 02 | $90 | +$550 | +612% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Nov 24 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Nov 24 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? | Aug 02 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Jul 21 | $8 | −$6 | -74% |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Jul 21 | $500 | +$3,212 | +642% |