Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bee…e55c
sports · 1227 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,769 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,791 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$12,791
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses762 / 461
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Est. fees paid−$1,015
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1223 / 1227
History coverage105d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 4 History 1223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$328
7 days−$600
14 days−$1,619
30 days−$416
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes 3¢ 8¢ $9 $28 +$19 (+206%)
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+3%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 23¢ 30¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+33%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 36¢ 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-46%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 40¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Team Weibo (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs Team Weibo 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $353 $0 −$353 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage Betclic Apogee Esports 41¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1 Team Envy 80¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner fnatic 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Dragon Ranger Gaming 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner Vici Gaming 83¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 4 Winner EDward Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2 Dragon Ranger Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 34¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner FlyQuest 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers New York Yankees 74¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 Winner Lynn Vision 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 1 Winner Any Questions Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs TNC 36¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $121 −$87 -72%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $150 −$41 -27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $44 +$19 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $184 −$140 -76%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $425 −$83 -20%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $57 −$8 -14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $92 +$6 +7%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$9 +32%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$9 -47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $138 +$7 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $129 −$93 -72%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $119 −$24 -20%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $129 +$71 +55%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $278 +$96 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $184 +$73 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $161 +$57 +35%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$10 -57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $147 −$44 -30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $100 +$16 +16%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $29 −$10 -36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $410 +$35 +8%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $160 +$95 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $59 −$41 -70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $57 −$56 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $58 −$14 -24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $83 −$61 -74%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $28 −$21 -75%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $28 +$18 +62%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $37 +$1 +2%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 11 $50 +$2 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $88 −$52 -58%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 11 $45 −$44 -97%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $178 +$4 +2%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $28 −$18 -64%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 10 $129 −$12 -9%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $28 +$11 +38%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $28 −$25 -90%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $28 +$14 +50%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $18 +$29 +158%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $197 −$20 -10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $117 +$15 +13%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $18 +$26 +139%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $59 +$25 +42%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $277 −$142 -51%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $28 +$10 +36%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $18 −$18 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $28 +$16 +57%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $45 +$18 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$1,455
world 5% −$6,049
other 5% −$4,313
tech 0% −$793
culture 0% −$134
crypto 0% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 13¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 49¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 23¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 24¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $94 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $94 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 91¢ $86 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 16¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $63 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $63 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $44 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 26¢ $28 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 20¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 92¢ $184 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $184 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 92¢ $14 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $14 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 92¢ $157 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 45¢ $158 4h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 69¢ $33 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $33 4h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 72¢ $122 4h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 69¢ $98 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $98 5h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 84¢ $28 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $37 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 96¢ $64 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 88¢ $28 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -7.9% -16.7% 51% 43% -15.4%
≤30d 448 -0.0% -9.6% 57% 52% -9.4%
≤90d 1213 -6.4% -15.3% 62% 46% -15.6%
all 1223 -6.5% -15.4% 62% 46% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 46% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 33% -24.1%
15% -30.9% 22% -31.4%
20% -37.7% 11% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.35 · official $53.71 (match) · 3286 history records