trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 56% | 11% | -7.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 50% | 8% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 50% | 8% | -8.0% |
| all | 23 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 52% | 4% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 4% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $44 | $43 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 17 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $36 | +$6 | +17% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $57 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $34 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 11 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 09 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 28 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | May 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | Apr 17 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 16 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | Apr 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | -0% |