trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 22% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 23 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 48% | 9% | -5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 9% | -5.5% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 9% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -21.8% | 9% | -22.8% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 4% | -30.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $43 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $125 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump meets with Carney in March? | Mar 30 | $95 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Mar 27 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 27 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $53 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | Mar 19 | $37 | +$17 | +45% |
| Sharks vs. Maple Leafs | Mar 02 | $12 | +$23 | +185% |
| Will "Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl" win Best Animated Feature | Mar 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |