Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2B
0x2bf8…9d11
other · 5 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 50¢ 57¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+15%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-28%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $46 +$4 +10%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$40
sports 33% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 50¢ $30 9m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $20 12m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $46 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $25 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-64.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -61.2% -64.9% 33% 0% -46.3%
≤30d 3 -61.2% -64.9% 33% 0% -46.3%
≤90d 3 -61.2% -64.9% 33% 0% -46.3%
all 3 -61.2% -64.9% 33% 0% -46.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -64.9% 0% -46.3%
10% -68.3% 0% -51.4%
15% -71.3% 0% -56.1%
20% -74.2% 0% -60.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.85 · official $48.85 (match) · 8 history records