Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:31:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
2B 0x2bff…dc0e crypto 368 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2814 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$630 (-1%) realized −$630 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%359W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$150per market
Trades / day2814.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$913
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2814 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤30d 368 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 368 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -11.0%
all 368 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2814.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -19.5%
15% -26.2% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$160 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$630
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses359 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)368 / 368
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$150
Trades / day2814.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 368 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $158 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $178 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $339 −$85 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $119 −$17 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $594 −$39 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $139 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $198 −$15 -8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $148 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $59 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $196 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $119 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records