trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +28.6% | +16.4% | 32% | 32% | +4.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 27% | 27% | -16.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 27% | 27% | -16.6% |
| all | 26 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 27% | 27% | -16.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.3% | 27% | -16.6% |
| 10% | -10.8% | 27% | -24.6% |
| 15% | -19.4% | 27% | -31.9% |
| 20% | -27.3% | 27% | -38.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $40 | +$189 | +474% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $56 | −$52 | -93% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$30 | +291% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$86 | +169% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$39 | -76% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $56 | +$147 | +262% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$38 | -74% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $56 | +$157 | +279% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$53 | +105% |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 ( | Jun 12 | $102 | −$98 | -96% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$3 | -5% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 12 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | Jun 12 | $62 | −$60 | -97% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $56 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $56 | +$89 | +160% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$3 | -54% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day | Jun 10 | $207 | −$195 | -94% |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( | Jun 10 | $108 | −$105 | -97% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |