Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:43:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c03…e334
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$254
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses26 / 47
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)73 / 79
History coverage99d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$382
7 days−$382
14 days−$382
30 days−$382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 29¢ 30¢ $42 $45 +$3 (+7%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 30¢ 28¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-5%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $47 $1 −$46 (-98%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$39 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$18 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$36 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$49 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$24 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$26 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$28 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$20 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$41 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$23 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$98 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Mar 23 $25 +$67 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 23 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 22 $30 −$22 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Mar 22 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 22 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Mar 22 $15 +$15 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 22 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 22 $22 +$53 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 22 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 22 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Mar 21 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Mar 20 $30 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Mar 20 $40 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 20 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 20 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$296
other 4% +$7
sports 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $32 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 13m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -66.1% -69.3% 14% 14% -53.6%
≤30d 29 -66.1% -69.3% 14% 14% -53.6%
≤90d 72 -21.5% -29.0% 35% 35% -25.0%
all 73 -20.5% -28.0% 36% 36% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.0% 36% -24.0%
10% -34.9% 32% -31.3%
15% -41.2% 26% -37.9%
20% -47.0% 23% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.71 · official $108.72 (match) · 485 history records