Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c08…3704
sports · 1128 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
+$2,906 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,899 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,207
Realized+$2,899
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses876 / 247
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$1,534
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1123 / 1128
History coverage130d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day16.7
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 5 History 1123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$14
14 days−$64
30 days−$2,041
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 99¢ $500 $502 +$2 (+0%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $300 $304 +$4 (+1%)
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $200 $201 +$1 (+0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Fnatic 79¢ 0¢ $269 $0 −$269 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 24¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner RAYN Clocks 2¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A B8 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 17¢ 0¢ $310 $0 −$310 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Timberwolves 23¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 93¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashka Ilya Ivashka 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season FlyQuest 63¢ 0¢ $494 $0 −$494 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 71¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $100 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $100 +$5 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $100 +$7 +8%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 11 $100 +$10 +10%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $100 −$45 -45%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $100 +$3 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $101 +$14 +14%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $26 +$1 +5%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $100 +$3 +3%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $101 +$9 +9%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $21 +$1 +5%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 09 $100 +$1 +1%
Libema Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Joanna Garland Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $103 +$48 +46%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 07 $100 +$6 +6%
Libema Open, Qualification: Alec Deckers vs Bernard Tomic Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 07 $100 +$6 +6%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $100 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $100 +$4 +4%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 06 $100 +$4 +4%
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 05 $100 +$2 +2%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $100 +$2 +2%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel Jun 05 $100 +$3 +2%
Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen Jun 05 $100 +$3 +3%
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon Jun 05 $100 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $100 −$100 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 04 $100 $0 +0%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 04 $100 +$1 +1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 04 $100 +$2 +2%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 04 $100 +$3 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $101 +$24 +23%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 02 $102 +$55 +54%
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America Jun 02 $100 +$10 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $201 +$24 +12%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $100 −$100 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $101 +$3 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $102 −$100 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria May 28 $51 +$14 +28%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 28 $51 −$50 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $50 −$50 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi May 27 $50 +$16 +32%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic May 27 $50 +$17 +34%
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong May 27 $51 +$15 +30%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tiran May 27 $51 +$30 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$2,420
other 13% +$704
crypto 1% −$225
culture 0% +$6
world 0% +$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 97¢ $103 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 87¢ $81 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 98¢ $100 2h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 96¢ $100 3h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $108 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $100 18h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $100 18h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 91¢ $23 23h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 84¢ $100 23h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 94¢ $100 23h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Marco Trungelliti 49¢ $55 43h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 87¢ $100 44h
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 91¢ $100 45h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan SELL Dominika Salkova 91¢ $103 45h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan BUY Dominika Salkova 88¢ $100 46h
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 99¢ $100 2d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 99¢ $100 2d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet SELL Nick Kyrgios 62¢ $116 2d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet BUY Nick Kyrgios 53¢ $101 2d
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 98¢ $100 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones SELL Laura Siegemund 97¢ $103 2d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones BUY Laura Siegemund 94¢ $100 2d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez SELL Katie Boulter 85¢ $110 2d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez BUY Katie Boulter 77¢ $101 2d
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby BUY Zhizhen Zhang 95¢ $26 3d
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 96¢ $100 3d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 4¢ $22 3d
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer BUY Ugo Humbert 99¢ $100 3d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev SELL Flavio Cobolli 20¢ $150 4d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 13¢ $103 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +0.6% -8.9% 94% 6% -9.1%
≤30d 447 -5.8% -14.8% 72% 25% -13.4%
≤90d 843 -6.0% -15.0% 73% 28% -8.1%
all 1123 -4.0% -13.1% 78% 23% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 23% -8.2%
10% -21.5% 11% -17.0%
15% -29.0% 7% -25.0%
20% -36.0% 4% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,206.62 · official $1,206.62 (match) · 2741 history records