Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c0e…524c
crypto · 982 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$283 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,618 · open −$257
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$337
Realized+$2,618
Unrealized−$257
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses109 / 843
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions21
Markets (closed)952 / 982
History coverage198d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 21 History 952 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$203
7 days+$181
14 days+$1,699
30 days+$1,640
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Yes 42¢ 36¢ $301 $253 −$48 (-16%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? Yes 26¢ 7¢ $84 $23 −$60 (-72%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? Yes 10¢ 2¢ $53 $11 −$42 (-79%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 17? No 4¢ 1¢ $37 $8 −$29 (-78%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Yes 17¢ 3¢ $35 $7 −$28 (-81%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 25¢ 23¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? No 6¢ 2¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-64%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 16? No 5¢ 1¢ $11 $2 −$9 (-81%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-75%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? No 12¢ 1¢ $13 $1 −$12 (-90%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14? No 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-97%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? No 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-96%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +442%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $7 +$4 +54%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $8 +$2 +27%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 +$6 +276%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 11? Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$28 +289%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $69 −$41 -59%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10? Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11? Jun 10 $50 $0 -0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 10 $8 $0 -6%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 10 $22 −$1 -5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $57 −$2 -4%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $19 −$1 -7%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 09 $17 −$1 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 09 $35 −$1 -2%
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut Jun 09 $32 −$4 -14%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% +$2,876
world 26% −$162
finance 9% −$98
other 8% −$125
sports 1% −$59
tech 1% −$6
weather 1% −$5
politics 0% −$39
culture 0% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? BUY Yes 36¢ $21 52m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 73¢ $3 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $3 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY 1¢ $1 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY 43¢ $3 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY 42¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $2 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL Boston Red Sox 47¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 49¢ $4 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 33¢ $5 2d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Qatar win on 2 BUY 2¢ $1 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06- BUY 20¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 6¢ $7 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? BUY No 1¢ $2 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-50.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -23.2% -30.5% 18% 14% +4.7%
≤30d 164 -23.5% -30.8% 13% 12% +30.9%
≤90d 373 -41.1% -46.7% 9% 7% -10.2%
all 952 -45.4% -50.6% 11% 9% +3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -50.6% 9% +3.1%
10% -55.4% 8% -6.7%
15% -59.7% 8% -15.8%
20% -63.6% 7% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $336.76 · official $342.82 · 3500 history records