Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c2c…7bc9
crypto · 158 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$343 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$400 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$400
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses52 / 105
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)157 / 158
History coverage138d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 29? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 17 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 17 $41 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 17 $36 −$20 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3 +$6 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 17 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 17 $3 $0 +6%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? May 17 $9 −$3 -29%
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw? May 17 $4 +$4 +101%
Will Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw? May 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 17 $1 +$2 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 17 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 17 $11 −$10 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 17 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 17 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 17 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 16 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 16 $3 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 16 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 16 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 16 $9 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 16 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 16 $13 +$14 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 16 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 16 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 16 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 16 $3 +$4 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $2 +$4 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 16 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 16 $4 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 15 $10 −$9 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$492
other 5% +$88
sports 2% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 50m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $4 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $17 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-29.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -45.6% -50.8% 22% 22% -60.0%
≤30d 79 -4.6% -13.7% 44% 43% -14.8%
≤90d 133 -19.6% -27.3% 35% 34% -38.6%
all 157 -22.3% -29.7% 33% 32% -36.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.7% 32% -36.1%
10% -36.4% 31% -42.2%
15% -42.6% 28% -47.8%
20% -48.2% 25% -52.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.11 (match) · 421 history records