Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c33…0563
sports · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,850,384 -643%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,852,993 · open +$26,009
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$441,391
Realized−$7,852,993
Unrealized+$26,009
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses24 / 376
Whale WR (big bets)4%
Est. fees paid−$5,991
Open positions16
Markets (closed)400 / 20
Avg bet$61,070
Trades / day3472.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 16 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,852,993
7 days−$7,852,993
14 days−$7,852,993
30 days−$7,852,993
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 95¢ 98¢ $242,113 $251,546 +$9,433 (+4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 78¢ 81¢ $43,071 $44,700 +$1,629 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 56¢ 100¢ $24,482 $43,499 +$19,017 (+78%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 63¢ $25,201 $29,956 +$4,755 (+19%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? No 91¢ 98¢ $18,176 $19,664 +$1,488 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 85¢ 78¢ $16,996 $15,497 −$1,500 (-9%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 49¢ 52¢ $13,581 $14,412 +$831 (+6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 49¢ 40¢ $9,437 $7,608 −$1,830 (-19%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 71¢ 70¢ $6,963 $6,952 −$12 (-0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 67¢ 19¢ $11,342 $3,189 −$8,153 (-72%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 90¢ $2,733 $2,659 −$74 (-3%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 6¢ 12¢ $393 $819 +$426 (+108%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 57¢ $509 $533 +$23 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 43¢ 44¢ $153 $155 +$2 (+1%)
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $135 $135 −$0 (-0%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 63¢ 46¢ $94 $68 −$26 (-28%)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Thunder 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 0¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 33¢ 0¢ $5,239 $0 −$5,239 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Spurs 61¢ 0¢ $20,885 $0 −$20,885 (-100%)
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5) Ohio State Buckeyes 50¢ 0¢ $85,218 $0 −$85,218 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 37¢ 0¢ $161,896 $0 −$161,896 (-100%)
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $27,119 $0 −$27,119 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 78¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Kyrian Jacquet 16¢ 0¢ $3,523 $0 −$3,523 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $5,239 −$5,239 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Jun 12 $20,885 −$20,885 -100%
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5) Jun 12 $85,218 −$85,218 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $161,896 −$161,773 -100%
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5 Jun 12 $27,119 −$27,119 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 12 $3,523 −$3,523 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $112 +$1,066 +948%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $1,796 −$1,796 -100%
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9,596 −$9,596 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Jun 12 $60,169 −$60,152 -100%
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Jun 12 $3,487 −$3,487 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Jun 12 $22,077 −$12,910 -58%
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka end in a draw? Jun 12 $858 −$858 -100%
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-24? Jun 12 $1,579 −$1,579 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $56,308 −$56,308 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $11,576 −$11,576 -100%
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,290 −$1,290 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $71,838 −$59,665 -83%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 12 $391 −$391 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $19,524 −$22,893 -117%
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai Jun 12 $23,500 −$23,500 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 12 $5,243 −$5,243 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $8,035 −$8,035 -100%
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $138,261 −$138,261 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Jun 12 $507 −$507 -100%
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 223.5 Jun 12 $44,994 −$44,469 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-15? Jun 12 $5,675 −$5,675 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,737 −$1,737 -100%
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $18,368 −$18,368 -100%
Spread: Hornets (-6.5) Jun 12 $28,255 −$28,255 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 12 $3,012 −$2,629 -87%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 12 $41,244 −$47,188 -114%
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9,596 −$9,596 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $162 +$3,137 +1933%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $29,586 −$24,369 -82%
Spread: Hawks (-5.5) Jun 12 $9,644 −$9,644 -100%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9,596 −$9,596 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $27,500 −$27,500 -100%
Will Feyenoord win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9,596 −$9,596 -100%
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $9,596 −$9,596 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $15,356 −$15,356 -100%
Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 142.5 Jun 12 $2,600 −$2,600 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$242,370
sports 30% +$227,973
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $12 0m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $5 2m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 2m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 2m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 4m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 8m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 9m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $14 9m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $233 11m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $68 13m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $7 13m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 14m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $19 15m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $11 16m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 16m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $11 16m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 17m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $70 17m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $5 17m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $535 22m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $120 24m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $1 24m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $7 28m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 29m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $2 31m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $54 32m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 32m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $28 32m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $23 33m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $5 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-58.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 400 -54.5% -58.9% 6% 5% -86.1%
≤30d 400 -54.5% -58.9% 6% 5% -86.1%
≤90d 400 -54.5% -58.9% 6% 5% -86.1%
all 400 -54.5% -58.9% 6% 5% -86.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3472.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -58.9% 5% -86.1%
10% -62.8% 5% -87.4%
15% ← realistic here -66.4% 5% -88.6%
20% -69.7% 5% -89.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $441,391.06 · official $441,391.06 (match) · 3500 history records