trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on June 30? | Jun 12 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $9 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $429,000 and $431,000 | Jun 11 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $435,000 and $437,000 | Jun 11 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit? | Jun 11 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026? | Jun 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | Jun 11 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | Jun 10 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Jun 10 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? | Jun 09 | $42 | $0 | -1% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder? | Jun 09 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) | Jun 09 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score | Jun 09 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 22 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.6% |