Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:48:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c46…dac9
sports · 1290 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12,140 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,451 · open +$689
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,249
Realized+$11,451
Unrealized+$689
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses936 / 538
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$399
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1474 / 1290
History coverage19d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day132.4
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 5 History 1474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,388
7 days−$3,121
14 days+$7,939
30 days+$11,451
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 41¢ 100¢ $368 $892 +$524 (+142%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 59¢ 100¢ $432 $732 +$300 (+69%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 98¢ 100¢ $196 $201 +$4 (+2%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Over 96¢ 100¢ $164 $171 +$7 (+4%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 76¢ 100¢ $98 $128 +$30 (+31%)
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Cambodia 96¢ 100¢ $51 $53 +$2 (+4%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $14 $31 +$17 (+118%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 63¢ 100¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+59%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? No 64¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$3 (+56%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? No 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $40 $1 −$39 (-98%)
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27? Yes 18¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+456%)
Spread: France (-1.5) Côte dIvoire 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Algeria leading at halftime? No 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
CSyD Macará vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-09? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21? No 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? No 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Spread: Austria (-2.5) Tunisia 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 37¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
CSyD Macará vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21? Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $24 −$13 -56%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-04-24? Jun 12 $4 −$5 -136%
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will FK Pardubice win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Once Caldas vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $9 −$6 -74%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$14,690
other 43% +$5,634
world 0% +$123
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) BUY Canada 99¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $374 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Canada 96¢ $396 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 59¢ $437 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 94¢ $277 1h
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $61 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 98¢ $122 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 88¢ $83 1h
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $47 1h
Waterford FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $54 1h
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $27 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 63¢ $10 2h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 88¢ $212 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $132 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $20 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $18 2h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 96¢ $396 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 29¢ $25 2h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $90 3h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $107 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $153 3h
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) BUY RCA Zemamra 99¢ $54 4h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $178 4h
Spread: Difaâ Hassani El Jadida (-1.5) BUY Olympic Dcheira 97¢ $33 4h
Spread: Difaâ Hassani El Jadida (-2.5) BUY Olympic Dcheira 99¢ $54 4h
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 88¢ $15 6h
Will FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? BUY No 69¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 748 -36.2% -42.3% 41% 20% -15.4%
≤30d 1474 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 34% -1.3%
≤90d 1474 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 34% -1.3%
all 1474 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 34% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 34% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 26% -10.8%
15% -28.4% 20% -19.4%
20% -35.4% 17% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,248.55 · official $2,243.48 (match) · 3500 history records