Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T08:14:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2c47…3362 crypto 60 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3440 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,428 (+4%) realized +$1,567 · open −$139
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate52%31W / 29L
Whale WR33%big bets
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$631per market
Trades / day3440.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$591now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$493
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3440 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 20% -8.1%
≤30d 60 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 20% -8.1%
≤90d 60 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 20% -8.1%
all 60 +1.5% -8.2% 52% 20% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3440.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 20% -8.1%
10% -17.0% 5% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -25.0% 0% -24.9%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 33% (≥$785) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +6% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
57.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$44 vs −$27 · ×1.63 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.74 per $1 lost it wins $1.74
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$591
Realized+$1,567
Unrealized−$139
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses31 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$631
Trades / day3440.0
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 60 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 56¢ 80¢ $339 $487 +$147 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 46¢ 20¢ $243 $104 −$139 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 23 $535 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 23 $649 +$24 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $706 +$84 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 23 $432 −$65 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $375 +$34 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $590 −$53 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $704 +$29 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 23 $404 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 23 $874 −$40 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 23 $727 +$22 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $785 −$16 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $703 −$17 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 23 $320 +$23 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 23 $586 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 23 $444 −$58 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 23 $608 −$32 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 23 $644 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 23 $596 +$79 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $755 −$28 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 23 $712 +$31 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $654 −$46 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $701 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 23 $886 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 23 $651 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 23 $881 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $951 +$16 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 23 $680 +$77 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 23 $1,137 −$25 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 23 $1,200 −$74 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 23 $948 +$103 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 23 $575 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 23 $471 +$16 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 23 $849 +$96 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 23 $859 −$14 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 23 $1,196 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 23 $620 +$29 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 23 $488 −$7 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $595 +$32 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 23 $946 −$31 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 23 $220 +$36 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $534 −$39 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 23 $955 −$32 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 23 $635 −$44 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 23 $230 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $502 +$60 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 23 $819 +$76 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 23 $413 +$26 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $700 −$42 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 23 $660 +$18 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $22 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $71 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $54 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $590.84 · official $583.80 · 3500 history records