Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:29:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2c47…fc6d sports 338 markets active 7h ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,459 (+6%) realized +$1,459 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +55% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +20% what you keep after slip
Net edge+20%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate76%256W / 82L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown3%max
Avg bet$71per market
Trades / day66.5pace
Fees−$78est.
Kalshi-fit73%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$491
7 days+$765
14 days+$1,256
30 days+$1,359
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 65% +$974
other 33% +$377
crypto 2% +$4
world 0% $0
weather 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+40.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +138.7% +116.0% 79% 30% -5.3%
≤30d 338 +55.3% +40.5% 76% 21% -4.5%
≤90d 338 +55.3% +40.5% 76% 21% -4.5%
all 338 +55.3% +40.5% 76% 21% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +40.5% 21% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here +27.1% 14% -13.6%
15% +14.8% 11% -22.0%
20% +3.5% 10% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +55% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +112% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$3 · ×2.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×7.26 per $1 lost it wins $7.26
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,459
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses256 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$78
Open positions0
Markets (closed)338 / 338
History coverage26d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day66.5
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit73%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 338 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $54 +$4 +8%
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? Jun 17 $348 +$63 +18%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $171 +$2 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: Second half draw? Jun 17 $1 +$5 +622%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? Jun 17 $161 +$23 +14%
Austria vs. Jordan: Austria O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $5 +$102 +2191%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $6 +$80 +1295%
Argentina to win the second half? Jun 17 $33 +$8 +25%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $2 +$15 +724%
Norway to win the second half? Jun 17 $152 +$3 +2%
Iraq vs. Norway: Second half draw? Jun 17 $4 +$5 +122%
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $442 +$14 +3%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $4 $0 +3%
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $70 −$8 -12%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $61 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway? Jun 16 $47 +$1 +3%
Iraq to win the second half? Jun 16 $0 +$3 +1072%
Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $32 −$32 -100%
Norway leading at halftime? Jun 16 $718 +$6 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $3 −$2 -98%
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $7 $0 +4%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $88 +$15 +17%
France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $1 +$20 +1408%
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? Jun 16 $958 +$29 +3%
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $140 +$4 +2%
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $140 +$6 +5%
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $32 +$1 +3%
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $1 +$2 +146%
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $44 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $0 $0 -97%
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $60 +$2 +3%
New Zealand to win the second half? Jun 16 $0 +$1 +1011%
IR Iran to win the second half? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand? Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $70 +$20 +29%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $361 +$3 +1%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $35 +$8 +23%
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay? Jun 16 $595 +$5 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Second half draw? Jun 16 $0 +$3 +1002%
Uruguay to win the second half? Jun 15 $33 +$16 +49%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $527 +$4 +1%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt? Jun 15 $245 +$5 +2%
Belgium to win the second half? Jun 15 $27 +$21 +81%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $3 +$10 +400%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $250 +$5 +2%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Second half draw? Jun 15 $1 +$9 +636%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 2¢ $1 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 2¢ $1 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 86¢ $32 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 81¢ $30 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 23¢ $8 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 21¢ $7 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 20¢ $2 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 20¢ $10 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 18¢ $7 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 19¢ $1 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 19¢ $1 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 19¢ $2 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 37¢ $6 6h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 31¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY No 96¢ $36 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY No 96¢ $96 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY No 96¢ $179 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 92¢ $7 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 91¢ $7 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 59¢ $27 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 59¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 59¢ $6 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 59¢ $40 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? SELL Yes 59¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 19¢ $7 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 14¢ $7 7h
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 7h
Austria vs. Jordan: Second half draw? SELL Yes 80¢ $6 7h
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan? SELL No 100¢ $157 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1825 history records