Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T00:34:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2c60…01fe sports 126 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$96 (-3%) realized −$66 · open −$30
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate43%54W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day139.1pace
Fees−$30est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$174now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 49% −$272
other 38% +$35
crypto 14% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -16.1%
≤30d 125 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -16.1%
≤90d 125 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -16.1%
all 125 -8.7% -17.4% 43% 38% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 38% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 35% -24.2%
15% -32.5% 30% -31.5%
20% -39.1% 26% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$14 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$174
Realized−$66
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses54 / 71
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions1
Markets (closed)125 / 126
History coverage4d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day139.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 125 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 51¢ 44¢ $204 $174 −$30 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 30 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $88 −$59 -67%
England leading at halftime? Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South Ame Jun 27 $31 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 27 $27 −$25 -90%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $333 +$151 +45%
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 27 $30 +$27 +91%
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai Jun 27 $84 −$42 -50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 27 $30 +$22 +72%
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims) Jun 27 $10 +$20 +201%
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southea Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Jun 27 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Challenge Jun 27 $42 −$3 -6%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Clo Jun 27 $82 −$81 -99%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan P Jun 27 $41 −$41 -99%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW (BO3) - European Pro Leagu Jun 27 $17 +$8 +43%
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner Jun 27 $10 +$14 +137%
Will 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026 Jun 27 $21 −$21 -99%
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026 Jun 27 $43 −$13 -31%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $129 +$3 +2%
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $10 +$7 +73%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $31 +$6 +21%
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 26 $143 −$12 -8%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $15 −$1 -8%
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International Nor Jun 26 $21 +$31 +149%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $31 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 26 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champ Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 1 Winner Jun 26 $10 +$14 +137%
France leading at halftime? Jun 26 $5 +$4 +72%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $212 +$72 +34%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Clo Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super Dracula Jun 26 $10 +$7 +68%
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 26 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Cl Jun 26 $21 −$20 -98%
Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanova Jun 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $21 −$20 -98%
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Andrej Nedic Jun 26 $20 +$6 +31%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Jun 26 $21 −$20 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $30 +$6 +20%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $20 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain Female vs MIBR fe (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch Jun 26 $5 +$8 +157%
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $5 +$2 +46%
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $5 +$5 +107%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 44¢ $45 8m
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 20¢ $29 10m
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 58¢ $29 1h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 58¢ $59 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 54¢ $55 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 53¢ $107 1h
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South Ame SELL BESTIA Academy 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South Ame SELL BESTIA Academy 50¢ $31 1h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 1h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $27 1h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY England 50¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South Ame BUY BESTIA Academy 49¢ $29 2h
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South Ame BUY BESTIA Academy 49¢ $1 2h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 81¢ $45 2h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 81¢ $15 2h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 81¢ $60 2h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 81¢ $362 2h
England leading at halftime? BUY Yes 50¢ $31 3h
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner BUY ECHO 54¢ $30 4h
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Rafael Fiziev 100¢ $28 5h
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Ca SELL Rafael Fiziev 100¢ $30 5h
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Rafael Fiziev 51¢ $30 5h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 55¢ $56 5h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 55¢ $167 5h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai SELL Shara Magomedov 100¢ $3 5h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 55¢ $78 5h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai SELL Shara Magomedov 100¢ $40 5h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai BUY Shara Magomedov 95¢ $41 6h
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Mai BUY Michel Pereira 24¢ $43 6h
O/U 2.5 Rounds BUY Under 49¢ $7 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $174.00 · official $178.00 · 573 history records