Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:16:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c69…a9a2
crypto · 426 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$843 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$841 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$841
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses166 / 258
Open positions1
Markets (closed)424 / 426
History coverage2d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day1691.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$841
7 days−$841
14 days−$841
30 days−$841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 60¢ 50¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$20 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$12 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$27 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$18 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$16 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$11 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$16 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$16 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$24 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$35 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$17 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $167 −$42 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$19 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $129 −$54 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$11 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $126 −$51 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$22 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $123 +$52 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $129 −$54 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $136 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $220 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $157 +$143 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$24 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$19 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$17 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$843
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $17 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -4.5% -13.6% 39% 28% -12.0%
≤30d 424 -4.5% -13.6% 39% 28% -12.0%
≤90d 424 -4.5% -13.6% 39% 28% -12.0%
all 424 -4.5% -13.6% 39% 28% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1691.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 28% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 20% -20.4%
15% -29.4% 15% -28.1%
20% -36.4% 6% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.38 · official $12.38 (match) · 3500 history records