Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:58:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2c91…c158 other 11 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (114 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$932per market
Trades / day114.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit36%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 77% −$11
world 12% −$1
tech 11% −$2
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -0.8% -10.3% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 11 -0.8% -10.3% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 11 -0.8% -10.3% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 11 -0.8% -10.3% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover114.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.9% 0% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.7% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$932
Trades / day114.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,386 −$2 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,594 −$3 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,200 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $200 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,400 −$2 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $600 −$1 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,700 −$2 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Jun 12 $1,006 −$2 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $155 $0 -0%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $198 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $200 5d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $200 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 114 history records