Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:34:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c95…801d
crypto · 595 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses475 / 120
Open positions0
Markets (closed)595 / 595
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 595 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$8
14 days+$7
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -0.8% -10.3% 85% 7% -10.2%
≤30d 539 -0.5% -10.0% 80% 7% -10.5%
≤90d 595 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 11% -10.3%
all 595 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 11% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 11% -10.3%
10% -18.4% 2% -18.9%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.8%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1231 history records