Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2c97…c20b
sports · 1655 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,084 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$286 · open +$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$829
Realized+$286
Unrealized+$25
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses777 / 841
Est. fees paid−$561
Open positions37
Markets (closed)1618 / 1655
History coverage66d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day30.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 37 History 1618 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$179
7 days+$202
14 days+$350
30 days+$306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 21¢ 48¢ $20 $45 +$25 (+126%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 53¢ 52¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 54¢ 47¢ $40 $35 −$5 (-13%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Under 52¢ 56¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+7%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 49¢ 50¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 50¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 57¢ 57¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 54¢ 54¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ 52¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ 50¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Under 48¢ 48¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 48¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Over 56¢ 56¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Over 54¢ 54¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 52¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Under 46¢ 45¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 53¢ 52¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Donna Vekic 44¢ 44¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Bangladesh 59¢ 55¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $30 +$25 +83%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $30 +$24 +78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $30 +$33 +109%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $30 +$28 +93%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $12 +$21 +172%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $21 +$22 +103%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $30 +$33 +109%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $20 +$15 +74%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$17 +83%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $30 +$28 +93%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $25 +$20 +79%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $30 +$24 +79%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $30 +$25 +83%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $25 +$20 +79%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +105%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $25 +$28 +109%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $30 +$32 +103%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $30 +$17 +58%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$35 +344%
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $15 $0 -1%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$23 +152%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $25 +$24 +93%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$27 +90%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $30 +$25 +83%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $13 +$32 +250%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$21 +70%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $30 −$2 -5%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $30 +$27 +90%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$26 +172%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $40 +$27 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$369
other 13% −$91
politics 1% −$18
crypto 0% +$48
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 56¢ $25 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $30 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 54¢ $25 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 48¢ $25 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ $30 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 48¢ $25 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 46¢ $25 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 53¢ $25 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $30 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 53¢ $25 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 54¢ $30 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 57¢ $30 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 52¢ $30 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 53¢ $20 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 44¢ $20 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 56¢ $25 1h
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) BUY Hurricanes 31¢ $15 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Hurricanes 53¢ $41 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 59¢ $20 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $30 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $13 2h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $20 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $15 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $25 2h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $30 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 49¢ $30 3h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 55¢ $30 24h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 47¢ $30 24h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 48¢ $21 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 51¢ $30 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 +3.6% -6.2% 51% 51% -5.1%
≤30d 807 +0.1% -9.5% 49% 49% -8.2%
≤90d 1618 +0.9% -8.7% 48% 48% -8.9%
all 1618 +0.9% -8.7% 48% 48% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 48% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 47% -17.6%
15% -25.4% 47% -25.6%
20% -32.8% 47% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $829.30 · official $829.30 (match) · 3500 history records