Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:18:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2ca7…ddf0 crypto 918 markets active 3d ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$7 (-0%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate55%522W / 429L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day77.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$59
14 days−$57
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -29.1% -35.8% 40% 1% -12.8%
≤30d 687 -6.1% -15.1% 56% 8% -10.4%
≤90d 951 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 9% -10.2%
all 951 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 9% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 9% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 3% -18.8%
15% -29.2% 1% -26.6%
20% -36.1% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses522 / 429
Open positions0
Markets (closed)951 / 918
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day77.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 951 Trades
no open positions (46 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records