Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cb9…5a7a
crypto · 1366 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$271 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$271 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$271
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses894 / 472
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1366 / 1366
Avg bet$8
Trades / day338.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$232
14 days−$271
30 days−$271
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$6 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$6 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 985 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 15% -12.5%
≤30d 1366 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 21% -11.8%
≤90d 1366 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 21% -11.8%
all 1366 -1.3% -10.7% 65% 21% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover338.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 21% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 8% -20.2%
15% -27.1% 3% -27.9%
20% -34.2% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records