Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cbc…5dfc
sports · 1036 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$3,722 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,710 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$585
Realized+$3,710
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses966 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$208
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1030 / 1036
History coverage107d
Avg bet$208
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 1030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days+$505
14 days+$356
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 99¢ $127 $128 +$1 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 99¢ $107 $107 +$1 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $106 $106 +$1 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 100¢ $91 $100 +$9 (+10%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 98¢ 99¢ $93 $95 +$1 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 97¢ 96¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Over 92¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 G Jun 12 $298 +$25 +8%
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $144 +$3 +2%
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,889 +$37 +2%
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S Jun 12 $314 +$31 +10%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $120 +$1 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $134 +$1 +1%
Overwatch: MENG GONG 3 vs SHENGSHI Esports (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 2 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $140 +$2 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Overwatch: Trap12 vs Najdorf (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 11 $905 +$16 +2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $108 +$8 +7%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $86 +$14 +16%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $89 +$11 +12%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $41 +$9 +22%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $92 −$92 -100%
Overwatch: 99DIVINE vs ENTER FORCE.36 - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $745 +$11 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $102 +$2 +2%
Overwatch: 99DIVINE vs ENTER FORCE.36 - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $247 +$3 +1%
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs MURASH GAMING (BO3) - OCS Japan Stag Jun 09 $616 +$6 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $96 +$2 +2%
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs MURASH GAMING - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $147 +$2 +1%
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs MURASH GAMING - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $122 +$12 +10%
Overwatch: REVATI vs Lazuli (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 09 $487 +$8 +2%
Overwatch: REVATI vs Lazuli - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $375 +$7 +2%
Overwatch: REVATI vs Lazuli - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $198 +$2 +1%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $96 +$4 +4%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $95 +$5 +5%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $95 +$5 +5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $126 +$2 +2%
Overwatch: MURASH GAMING vs Lazuli (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 Group Sta Jun 08 $432 +$4 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $118 +$2 +2%
Overwatch: MURASH GAMING vs Lazuli - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $99 +$1 +1%
Overwatch: MURASH GAMING vs Lazuli - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $169 +$3 +2%
Overwatch: Please Not Hero Ban vs 99DIVINE (BO3) - OCS Japan Stage 2 G Jun 08 $93 +$1 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $123 +$2 +2%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $95 +$5 +5%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $495 +$5 +1%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $334 −$34 -10%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $7 $0 +5%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $285 +$15 +5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $429 +$21 +5%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $93 +$7 +8%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $95 +$5 +5%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $98 +$2 +2%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 Jun 07 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $489 +$11 +2%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $679 +$21 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$3,660
weather 4% −$94
other 3% +$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $49 18m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $106 34m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $107 36m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $127 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $94 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $91 1h
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 G BUY Crazy Raccoon 99¢ $10 15h
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 2 Winner BUY Crazy Raccoon 98¢ $1,889 15h
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 1 Winner BUY Crazy Raccoon 98¢ $144 15h
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S BUY ZETA DIVISION 99¢ $50 16h
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs SuperBad - Game 1 Winner BUY Cheeseburger 99¢ $140 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $6 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $91 23h
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S BUY ZETA DIVISION 84¢ $6 27h
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S BUY ZETA DIVISION 84¢ $32 27h
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S BUY ZETA DIVISION 85¢ $29 27h
Overwatch: O2 Blast vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group S BUY ZETA DIVISION 85¢ $14 27h
Overwatch: MENG GONG 3 vs SHENGSHI Esports (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 2 BUY SHENGSHI Esports 99¢ $5 35h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $346 37h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $99 37h
Overwatch: Trap12 vs Najdorf (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 2 Group Stage BUY Najdorf 98¢ $905 38h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 38h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 39h
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 G BUY Crazy Raccoon 92¢ $230 40h
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 G BUY Crazy Raccoon 92¢ $39 40h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 86¢ $86 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $1 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $38 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $3 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $89 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 +2.7% -7.1% 98% 6% -7.3%
≤30d 256 +0.9% -8.8% 93% 10% -9.5%
≤90d 855 +1.2% -8.4% 95% 11% -7.9%
all 1030 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 14% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 14% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 4% -16.8%
15% -25.5% 1% -24.8%
20% -32.8% 1% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $585.03 · official $585.03 (match) · 3500 history records