Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cc6…5f07
crypto · 203 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses195 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)202 / 203
History coverage4d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day58.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? No 99¢ 98¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$3
finance 6% −$17
other 3% +$1
sports 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA BUY No 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 99¢ $20 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 14h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $20 14h
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $15 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 202 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 202 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 202 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.85 · official $7.85 (match) · 406 history records