Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:21:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cc7…158e
crypto · 750 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,808 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,808 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$4,808
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses318 / 556
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)874 / 750
History coverage13d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day264.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 874 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,997
7 days−$6,552
14 days−$4,808
30 days−$4,808
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,485
sports 0% +$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $29 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $22 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $53 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $35 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $45 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $58 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $34 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 601 -16.8% -24.7% 29% 28% -37.3%
≤30d 874 -5.8% -14.8% 36% 35% -24.5%
≤90d 874 -5.8% -14.8% 36% 35% -24.5%
all 874 -5.8% -14.8% 36% 35% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 35% -24.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 31% -31.7%
15% -30.4% 28% -38.3%
20% -37.2% 24% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.97 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records