Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2ccb…83f2
other · 105 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$70 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized+$71
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses33 / 54
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions18
Markets (closed)87 / 105
History coverage279d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 18 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$7
14 days+$14
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-14%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-15%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 06 $69 −$6 -9%
Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 04 $102 +$10 +10%
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 02 $97 +$23 +24%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$1 -45%
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? May 26 $12 $0 +2%
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? May 26 $10 −$3 -30%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 26 $4 −$3 -72%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 26 $19 −$19 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $20 +$7 +38%
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? May 22 $288 −$12 -4%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? May 22 $2 $0 -4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 21 $1 $0 -24%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $3 $0 +14%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $8 −$2 -29%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $1 $0 +15%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals May 01 $16 +$5 +31%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 29 $4 +$4 +105%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $8 +$5 +63%
Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Apr 28 $5 −$1 -20%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 26 $2 +$1 +56%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 25 $1 +$3 +270%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Apr 25 $1 $0 -4%
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? Apr 22 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 09 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Apr 09 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 09 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Apr 09 $7 −$4 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 8? Apr 08 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? Apr 08 $5 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 7? Apr 07 $8 $0 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 5? Apr 06 $5 $0 +6%
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1? Apr 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 Apr 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on wee Apr 06 $34 −$11 -32%
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on wee Apr 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 6? Apr 06 $1 −$1 -71%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 6? Apr 06 $3 −$1 -45%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 6? Apr 05 $1 $0 +7%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? Mar 03 $5 −$4 -70%
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskies Feb 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 3 Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 2 Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$101
sports 5% −$5
crypto 4% −$19
weather 2% −$13
economics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $2 45m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $2 48m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 47h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 47h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 47h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 47h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 47h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 47h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 47h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 47h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 47h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 47h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 47h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 47h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 47h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 47h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 2d
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL Yes 49¢ $63 6d
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY Yes 50¢ $34 6d
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY Yes 50¢ $35 6d
Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL No 0¢ $0 6d
Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY No 3¢ $1 7d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 8d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8d
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL Yes 62¢ $112 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -37.3% -43.2% 0% 0% -18.5%
≤30d 20 -22.3% -29.7% 35% 25% -11.7%
≤90d 46 -11.6% -20.0% 41% 28% -14.1%
all 87 -19.1% -26.8% 38% 26% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 26% -6.5%
10% -33.8% 21% -15.4%
15% -40.2% 17% -23.6%
20% -46.1% 13% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.57 · official $52.57 (match) · 290 history records