Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cd6…3806
sports · 609 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,257 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,268 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$997
Realized−$9,268
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses294 / 415
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$245
Open positions21
Markets (closed)709 / 609
History coverage9d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day353.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 21 History 709 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,965
7 days−$7,048
14 days−$9,268
30 days−$9,268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 90¢ 85¢ $574 $544 −$31 (-5%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 69¢ 96¢ $133 $184 +$50 (+38%)
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Colorado Rockies 82¢ 94¢ $46 $52 +$6 (+14%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 68¢ 40¢ $60 $36 −$24 (-40%)
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Colorado Rockies 69¢ 86¢ $24 $30 +$6 (+24%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 17¢ 15¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-12%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 76¢ 60¢ $23 $18 −$5 (-22%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Golden State Valkyries 51¢ 80¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+58%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 74¢ 80¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+9%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Under 32¢ 54¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+69%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 88¢ 92¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Under 71¢ 97¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+37%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 81¢ 62¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-23%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 78¢ 95¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+22%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Los Angeles Angels 30¢ 11¢ $9 $3 −$6 (-63%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 27¢ 36¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+33%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Under 42¢ 90¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+113%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Under 53¢ 94¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+76%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Over 67¢ 61¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Athletics 77¢ 57¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 46¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Under 53¢ 53¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Seattle Storm 49¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Over 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaeva Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Guillaume Dalmasso Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 13 $674 −$674 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianu Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jones Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Heilbronn: Max Houkes vs Emilio Nava Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Heilbronn: Max Schoenhaus vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Centurion 2: Devin Badenhorst vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneeva Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Centurion 2: Dominik Palan vs Alec Beckley Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 13 $141 −$141 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Timofey Skatov Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$3,207
other 7% −$411
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 67¢ $2 5m
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 46¢ $1 5m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 62¢ $25 5m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 53¢ $3 9m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 93¢ $418 9m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 85¢ $3 9m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 82¢ $10 9m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 76¢ $9 9m
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) SELL Atlanta Braves 100¢ $4 12m
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) SELL New York Mets 100¢ $8 12m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 100¢ $33 12m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 90¢ $120 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 73¢ $35 14m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 76¢ $3 14m
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Athletics 77¢ $2 17m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $6 17m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $103 22m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 92¢ $2 24m
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) SELL Houston Astros 100¢ $4 25m
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) BUY New York Mets 99¢ $2 26m
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) SELL Kansas City Royals 100¢ $7 26m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 22¢ $0 34m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 22¢ $2 34m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 79¢ $21 34m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 96¢ $1 34m
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) BUY New York Mets 94¢ $2 35m
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Houston Astros 93¢ $2 36m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 81¢ $17 36m
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Houston Astros 91¢ $2 38m
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 88¢ $1 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+50.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 +54.2% +39.6% 41% 32% -57.3%
≤30d 709 +66.2% +50.3% 41% 32% -58.5%
≤90d 709 +66.2% +50.3% 41% 32% -58.5%
all 709 +66.2% +50.3% 41% 32% -58.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover353.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.3% 32% -58.5%
10% ← realistic here +35.9% 26% -62.5%
15% +22.8% 22% -66.1%
20% +10.8% 17% -69.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $996.61 · official $963.19 · 3500 history records