Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
2C 0x2cec…9ea2 crypto 1202 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$217 (+0%) realized +$217 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1184W / 18L
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day63.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$91
7 days+$166
14 days+$205
30 days+$229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$306
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 771 -0.8% -10.2% 98% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 1202 -0.4% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.3%
all 1202 -0.4% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.4% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$49 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.35 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1184 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1202 / 1202
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$98
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1202 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 29 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 29 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 29 $116 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 29 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 29 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 29 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $124 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 29 $123 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $123 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $123 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 29 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 29 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 29 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 29 $120 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 29 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 29 $120 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 29 $113 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 29 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $119 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 29 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 29 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 29 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 29 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 29 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 29 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 29 $115 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 29 $115 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $115 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 29 $133 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 29 $114 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 29 $114 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $106 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 28 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 28 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 28 $112 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 28 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 28 $111 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 28 $110 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $97 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $119 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $118 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $118 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $116 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $117 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $67 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $116 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $124 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $122 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $122 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $121 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records