Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:38:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cef…f68a
crypto · 22 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses9 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)22 / 22
History coverage20d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 25 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 25 $26 +$63 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 25 $20 +$9 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$51
other 4% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -26.4% -33.4% 37% 32% -24.4%
≤30d 22 -14.4% -22.6% 41% 36% -25.5%
≤90d 22 -14.4% -22.6% 41% 36% -25.5%
all 22 -14.4% -22.6% 41% 36% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 36% -25.5%
10% -30.0% 23% -32.6%
15% -36.7% 18% -39.1%
20% -42.9% 14% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 146 history records