Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2C
0x2cf4…18c7
crypto · 623 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$326 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$359 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$359
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses343 / 280
Open positions0
Markets (closed)623 / 623
History coverage28d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day86.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 623 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$103
14 days−$130
30 days−$359
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$35 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$12 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$359
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -7.7% -16.5% 30% 4% -16.7%
≤30d 623 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 8% -15.5%
≤90d 623 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 8% -15.5%
all 623 -8.6% -17.3% 55% 8% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 8% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 4% -23.6%
15% -32.4% 3% -31.0%
20% -39.0% 2% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3176 history records