trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 50% | 50% | -16.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 31% | 25% | -28.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 31% | 25% | -28.6% |
| all | 16 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 31% | 25% | -28.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.1% | 25% | -28.6% |
| 10% | -36.8% | 12% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -42.9% | 0% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -48.5% | 0% | -47.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, | Jun 29 | $25 | +$7 | +29% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | Jun 27 | $38 | −$12 | -32% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 16-22? | Jun 19 | $32 | +$5 | +16% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | Jun 18 | $43 | −$18 | -42% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? | Jun 16 | $52 | −$14 | -27% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $50 | −$2 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $465 | −$136 | -29% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$15 | +29% |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $70 | −$16 | -23% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 11 | $50 | −$9 | -19% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Jun 10 | $61 | +$11 | +18% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | Jun 08 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $54 | −$1 | -2% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |